Predictive model and risk analysis for coronary heart disease in people living with HIV using machine learning.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to construct a coronary heart disease (CHD) risk-prediction model in people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) with the help of machine learning (ML) per electronic medical records (EMRs). METHODS: Sixty-one medical characteristics (including demography information, laboratory measurements, and complicating disease) readily available from EMRs were retained for clinical analysis. These characteristics further aided the development of prediction models by using seven ML algorithms [light gradient-boosting machine (LightGBM), support vector machine (SVM), eXtreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), adaptive boosting (AdaBoost), decision tree, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and logistic regression]. The performance of this model was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) was further applied to interpret the findings of the best-performing model. RESULTS: The LightGBM model exhibited the highest AUC (0.849; 95% CI, 0.814-0.883). Additionally, the SHAP plot per the LightGBM depicted that age, heart failure, hypertension, glucose, serum creatinine, indirect bilirubin, serum uric acid, and amylase can help identify PLHIV who were at a high or low risk of developing CHD. CONCLUSION: This study developed a CHD risk prediction model for PLHIV utilizing ML techniques and EMR data. The LightGBM model exhibited improved comprehensive performance and thus had higher reliability in assessing the risk predictors of CHD. Hence, it can potentially facilitate the development of clinical management techniques for PLHIV care in the era of EMRs.

Efficacy of dolutegravir + lamivudine q.d. with food in people with TB/HIV using a rifampicin-based regimen: A retrospective observational case series.

OBJECTIVES: Dolutegravir + lamivudine (DTG + 3TC) is a first-line regimen for people with HIV. However, there are still concerns about its efficacy in people with tuberculosis (TB)/HIV due to the lack of available evidence and drug-drug interaction with rifampicin. METHODS: A single-centre retrospective observational case series was conducted in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, China. We included all people with TB/HIV on combined use of once-daily (q.d.) dosing DTG + 3TC and rifampicin (RIF)-containing anti-TB regimens between 2020 and 2022. HIV-RNA, CD4 cell counts were collected and analysed. RESULTS: In all, 21 people with HIV (PWH) were included in this study. All the PWH were treatment-naïve and told to take DTG + 3TC q.d. with food. The median age was 53 years, and 71.43% were male. A total of 71.43% PWH had baseline viral load (VL) > 100 000 copies/mL, and 33.33% had baseline VL greater than 500 000 copies/mL. Only one PWH had CD4 cell count greater than 200 cells/µL, and the median CD4 count was 20 cells/µL. A total of 16 PWH started DTG + 3TC after initiation of the RIF-based anti-TB regimen, and the other five PWH initiated DTG + 3TC before the treatment of TB. All the PWH had at least 24 weeks of follow-up visits and all of the TB treatments were successful. A total of 20 PWH (95.24%) achieved viral suppression (VL <50 copies/mL). All detected viral loads between weeks 24 and 48 were less than 200 copies/mL. Among the PWH who started DTG + 3TC after the initiation of RIF-based anti-TB regimen, all achieved viral suppression by week 24 except the non-suppressed PWH. CD4 counts were greatly improved after antiretroviral treatment: the median CD4 counts were raised from 20 to 171 cells/µL at week 48. No serious adverse events were reported. CONCLUSIONS: This case series preliminarily validates the efficacy of DTG + 3TC q.d. with food when combined with RIF-based anti-TB regimens in people with TB/HIV.

Prediction of the risk of cytopenia in hospitalized HIV/AIDS patients using machine learning methods based on electronic medical records.

Background: Cytopenia is a frequent complication among HIV-infected patients who require hospitalization. It can have a negative impact on the treatment outcomes for these patients. However, by leveraging machine learning techniques and electronic medical records, a predictive model can be developed to evaluate the risk of cytopenia during hospitalization in HIV patients. Such a model is crucial for designing a more individualized and evidence-based treatment strategy for HIV patients. Method: The present study was conducted on HIV patients who were admitted to Guangxi Chest Hospital between June 2016 and October 2021. We extracted a total of 66 clinical features from the electronic medical records and employed them to train five machine learning prediction models (artificial neural network [ANN], adaptive boosting [AdaBoost], k-nearest neighbour [KNN] and support vector machine [SVM], decision tree [DT]). The models were tested using 20% of the data. The performance of the models was evaluated using indicators such as the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The best predictive models were interpreted using the shapley additive explanation (SHAP). Result: The ANN models have better predictive power. According to the SHAP interpretation of the ANN model, hypoproteinemia and cancer were the most important predictive features of cytopenia in HIV hospitalized patients. Meanwhile, the lower hemoglobin-to-RDW ratio (HGB/RDW), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) levels, CD4+ T cell counts, and creatinine clearance (Ccr) levels increase the risk of cytopenia in HIV hospitalized patients. Conclusion: The present study constructed a risk prediction model for cytopenia in HIV patients during hospitalization with machine learning and electronic medical record information. The prediction model is important for the rational management of HIV hospitalized patients and the personalized treatment plan setting.

High baseline body mass index predicts recovery of CD4+ T lymphocytes for HIV/AIDS patients receiving long-term antiviral therapy.

The relationship between baseline BMI and CD4+ T cells during follow-up in HIV patients in China requires further evaluation. We conducted a retrospective cohort study based on adult AIDS patients who underwent or received antiretroviral therapy from 2003 to 2019 in Guangxi, China. BMI was divided into categories and compared, and after adjusting for BMI being related to the change in CD4 lymphocyte count, with normal weight as the reference group, the BMI before treatment was positively correlated with the changes in CD4+ T cells at different time periods. Among them, obese patients had significant CD4+ cell gain. In patients with pretreatment CD4+ T lymphocyte counts <200 cells/µL, a higher BMI was associated with an increased likelihood of achieving immunologic reconstitution [≥350 cells/µL: AHR: 1.02(1.01, 1.04), P = 0.004; ≥500 cells/µL: AHR: 1.03 (1.01, 1.05), P = 0.004]. Underweight in HIV patients was a risk factor for poor viral suppression [AHR: 1.24 (1.04, 1.48), P = 0.016]. Our study demonstrated that HIV/AIDS patients receiving ART with higher baseline BMI had better immune reconstitution and that baseline BMI could be an important predictor of immune reconstitution in patients receiving ART. Baseline BMI was not associated with virological failure, but a lower baseline BMI indicated poor viral suppression during follow-up.

Anemia and opportunistic infections in hospitalized people living with HIV: a retrospective study.

BACKGROUND: There is a high prevalence of anemia among people living with HIV in Guangxi, China. Therefore, we investigated anemia and opportunistic infections in hospitalized people living with HIV and explored the risk factors related to anemia in people living with HIV to actively prevent anemia in people living with HIV. METHODS: We retrospectively studied people living with HIV admitted to Guangxi Chest Hospital from June 2016 to October 2021. Detailed information on the sociodemographic and clinical features of the participants was collected. The X2 test was used to compare the prevalence between the anemic and non-anemic groups. The logistic regression analysis was applied to exclude confounding factors and identify factors related to anemia. RESULTS: Among 5645 patients with HIV, 1525 (27.02%) had anemia. The overall prevalence of mild, moderate, and severe anemia was 4.66%, 14.08%, and 8.27%, respectively. The factors significantly related to increased risk of anemia were CD4 count < 50 cells/µl (aOR = 2.221, 95% CI = [1.775, 2.779]), CD4 count 50-199 cells/µl (aOR = 1.659, 95% CI = [1.327, 2. 073]), female (aOR = 1.644, 95% CI = [1.436, 1.881]) co-infected with HCV (aOR = 1.465, 95% CI = [1.071, 2.002]), PM (aOR = 2.356, 95% CI = [1.950, 2.849]), or TB (aOR = 1.198, 95% CI = [1.053, 1.365]). CONCLUSIONS: Within Guangxi of China, 27.02% of hospitalized people living with HIV presented with anemia. Most patients with anemia were in the mild to moderate stage. The low CD4 count, female gender, and concomitant infection with Penicillium marneffei, Hepatitis C virus, or Tuberculosis were independent correlates of anemia. Thus, these findings would be helpful to clinicians in preventing and intervening in anemia in people living with HIV.

The association between serum CD4 T lymphocyte counts and surgical outcomes in HIV/AIDS patients in Guangxi, China: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: HIV/AIDS is a chronic disease leading to complications in infected individuals that often require surgical intervention. These patients' serum CD4 T lymphocyte (CD4) counts represent one of the most important indicators of their ability to tolerate surgical treatment. Previous studies have demonstrated that CD4 cell count (CD4-CC) < 200 cells/µl may increase the risk of surgical complications in these patients, limiting their ability to undergo surgery, which may negatively affect their quality of life. Further investigation into the surgical outcomes of patients with CD4-CC < 200 cells/µl should provide guidance in making appropriate clinical decisions for the optimal healthcare of this patient demographic. METHODS: All enrolled patients were selected from 14 prefecture-level general hospitals in Guangxi, China, and were referred to AIDS outpost hospitals for inpatient surgical therapy. A total cohort of 168 adult patients was retrospectively analyzed. Multifactorial and stratified analyses were performed to evaluate the in surgical outcome differences for patients with CD4-CC < 200 cells/µl (N = 43), using those with CD4-CC ≥ 200 cells/µl (N = 125) as controls. RESULTS: Poor incisional healing was used as the primary outcome indicator, and postoperative complications were used as the secondary outcome indicator. In the patient group with CD4-CC < 200 cells/µl, the risk of surgical complications was significantly increased (OR 2.379; 95% CI [1.049-5.394]) after adjustment. Adjusted stratified analysis of the CD4-CC < 200 cells/µl group revealed that individuals over 60 years (OR 27.504; 95% CI [2.297-329.317]) with erythrocyte counts below 4.00/ml for males or 3.50/ml for females (OR 3.353; 95% CI [1.079-10.419]) had a significantly higher risk of postoperative complications; this finding was statistically different from the control (CD4 ≥ 200 cells/µl) group. However, there was no significant difference between the two groups regarding the risk of poorly healed incision outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Preliminary findings suggest that a serum CD4-CC < 200 cells/µl is not a definitive contraindication for surgical therapy and that baseline and surgical characteristics may help predict surgical outcomes in these patients. Further studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Immune characteristics of human immunodeficiency virus/severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 coinfection: A case report and mini-review.

Since its first appearance in Wuhan, China, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 has rapidly spread throughout the world and has become a global pandemic. It remains unclear whether people living with human immunodeficiency virus are at an increased risk of coronavirus disease 2019 and severe disease manifestation; until now, the evidence regarding the outcomes from severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection in people living with human immunodeficiency virus is still limited and conflicting. The clinical characteristics of seven patients of family cluster-onset coronavirus disease 2019 were reported, including the immune characteristics of one patient of human immunodeficiency virus/severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 coinfection. In the patients of human immunodeficiency virus/severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 coinfection, about 2 weeks after infection, it was observed that CD4 and CD8 count showed a downward trend and that of CD8 is more obvious; at the same time, lymphocytes showed a slight increase. CD4, CD8, and lymphocytes are in the plateau period from the second week to the fourth week. About 4 weeks after infection, all showed an increase, in which anti-coronavirus combined with antiviral therapy were given. The time for Nucleic Acid Testing to present as negative was 51 days. The other six patients in the family were non-human immunodeficiency virus infected, the familial cluster received parallel treatment, and the median time for the Nucleic Acid Testing to present as negative was 29 days. The patient of human immunodeficiency virus/severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 coinfection presents an immune state of CD4's and CD8's dual lymphatic depletion. Human immunodeficiency virus should still be regarded as an important factor in future risk stratification models for coronavirus disease 2019.

Predictive factors of viral load high-risk events for virological failure in HIV/AIDS patients receiving long-term antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND: In the era of anti-retroviral therapy (ART), the plasma HIV viral load (VL) is an important primary indicator for monitoring the HIV treatment response. To optimize the clinical management of HIV/AIDS patients, we investigated VL high-risk events related to virological failure (VF) and further explored the preventive factors of VL high-risk events. METHODS: The data were derived from China's HIV/AIDS Comprehensive Response Information Management System. HIV infected patients who initiated or received ART in Guangxi between 2003 and 2019 were included. The contributions of VL after 6 months of ART to VF and AIDS-related death were analysed by Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests and Cox regression analyses. Both descriptive analyses and bivariate logistic regression were employed to further explore the preventive factors related to VL high-risk events of VF. RESULTS: The cumulative rates of VF in the high low-level viremia group (high LLV) (χ2 = 18.45; P <  0.001) and non-suppressed group (χ2 = 82.99; P <  0.001) were significantly higher than those in the viral suppression (VS) group. Therefore, the VL high-risk events of VF was defined as highest VL > 200 copies/ml after 6 months of ART. Compared with the VS group, the adjusted hazard risk was 7.221 (95% CI: 2.668; 19.547) in the high LLV group and 8.351 (95% CI: 4.253; 16.398) in the non-suppressed group. Compared with single patients, married or cohabiting (AOR = 0.591; 95% CI: 0.408, 0.856) and divorced or separated (AOR = 0.425, 95% CI: 0.207, 0.873) patients were negatively associated with VL high-risk events. So were patients acquired HIV homosexually (AOR = 0.572; 95% CI: 0.335, 0.978). However, patients who had ART modification were 1.728 times (95% CI: 1.093, 2.732) more likely to have VL high-risk events, and patients who used cotrimoxazole during ART were 1.843 times (95% CI: 1.271, 2.672) more likely to have VL high-risk events. CONCLUSIONS: A VL greater than 200 copies/ml is a VL high-risk event for VF. Intervention measurements should be adopted to optimize the surveillance of ART in patients who are single or widowed, who have ART modification, and who use cotrimoxazole during ART.

Use of comedications and potential drug-drug interactions in people living with HIV in China.

BACKGROUND: Because people living with HIV (PLWH) are ageing, they will inevitably develop non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and the number of non-HIV medications will increase. Drug-drug interactions(DDIs) will become an ever-increasing issue. However, little is known about this important issue in Chinese PLWH. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and risk factors of DDIs among PLWH in China. METHODS: Chinese PLWH aged ≥18 years were enrolled prospectively from October 2018 to April 2019 and after informed consent was obtained, they were ask to fill out a questionnaire about comorbidity and co-medications. Potential DDIs were identified using the University of Liverpool HIV Drug Interaction Checker. RESULTS: A total of 1804 questionnaires were included. Antiretroviral drugs (ARVs) that most frequently were prescribed were lamivudine (96.18%), efavirenz(64.64%) and tenofovir(60.62%). 16.96% of the participations reported current co-infection with HIV and14.69% reported NCDs. 263(14.57%) participations reported they had used co-medications in the past six months while 186(10.31%) reported they were taking co-medications. Age≥50 years (p < 0.001), living in developed areas(p < 0.001) and lower CD4 cell count(p = 0.045) were independently associated with the use of co-medications. Potential DDIs were identified in 54 (19.15%) persons using co-medications. Age≥50 [OR = 2.272(1.241-4.158)], PLWH with NCDs[OR = 2.889(1.509-5.532)] and usage of protease inhibitors[OR = 2.538(1.250-5.156)] were independently associated with the potential DDIs. CONCLUSION: The prevalence of the use of co-medications and potential DDIs among Chinese PLWH are low. Older age, NCDs and use of PIs were risk factors for the potential of developing DDIs. With the aging of PLWH, co-medications and DDIs in China warrants more attention.

Burden of sleep disturbances and associated risk factors: A cross-sectional survey among HIV-infected persons on antiretroviral therapy across China.

This study evaluated the prevalence and factors associated with sleep disturbance in a large cohort of HIV-infected patients across China. A cross-sectional study was conducted among HIV-infected patients on antiretroviral therapy at 20 AIDS clinics. The Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index was self-administered by subjects. Socio-demographic characteristics, medical history and HIV-related clinical data were collected. 4103 patients had complete data for analysis. Sleep disturbances were observed in 43.1% of patients. Associated factors in multivariable analysis included psychological factors: anxiety (odds ratio [OR], 3.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.44-4.00; P < 0.001), depression (OR, 2.09; 95% CI, 1.70-2.57; P < 0.001), and both anxiety and depression (OR, 5.90; 95% CI, 4.86-7.16; P < 0.001); sociodemographic factors: MSM (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.04-1.52; P = 0.018), being single (OR, 1.45; 95%CI 1.21-1.74; P < 0.001), higher education (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.03-1.53; P = 0.025); and clinical factors: suboptimal adherence (OR,1.51; 95% CI,1.23-1.85; P < 0.001), regimen-switching (OR, 1.94; 95% CI, 1.12-3.35; P = 0.018), and antidepressant use (OR, 1.98; 95% CI, 1.47-2.67; P = 0.044). Prevalence of sleep disturbance is high in this large Chinese cohort. Associated factors appear related to psychological and social-demographic factors. Health workers may consider routinely assessing sleep disturbances among HIV-infected patients, especially in the first three months after HIV diagnosis, and referring for mental health services, which may positively impact adherence to treatment.

[Randomized controlled study of integrated treatment of traditional Chinese medicine and western medicine on AIDS with pulmonary inflammation patients].

OBJECTIVE: To compare effects of integrated treatment traditional Chinese medicine and Western medicine (TCM-WM) and simple western medicine on TCM clincal symptoms in the patient of AIDS with pulmonary inflammation. METHOD: A multicenter randomized controlled trials of 164 subjects evaluated the effects of clinical symptoms of AIDS with pulmonary inflammation of TWO regimens: the TCM-WM group (n = 111) and western medicine treatment group (n = 53), while incidence of TCM symptoms in different time points in two groups were analyzed. RESULT: Twenty eight days after treatment, the cured and markedly effective rate of TCM symptoms in the TCM-WM group significantly exceeding that in the western medicine treatment group (cured and markedly effective rate significant efficiency 44.55% vs 20.00%), while the incidence rate for the TCM symptoms of fever and headache in the TCM-WM group was significantly lower than that in western medicine group. CONCLUSION: The integrated treatment of traditional Chinese medicine and Western medicine helps to alleviate the TCM clinical symptoms of AIDS with pulmonary inflammation.

[Preliminary study on features of syndrome distribution and cluster analysis for AIDS patients with pulmonary infection].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate Chinese medical features of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) patients with pulmonary infection. METHODS: Using cluster analysis method, Chinese medical syndromes of 196 AIDS patients with pulmonary infection were analyzed. The distribution features of each syndrome type were analyzed according to the severity and CD4+ numerical analysis. RESULTS: Basic Chinese medical syndrome types could be summed up as three kinds: exterior invasion of wind heat and phlegm heat obstructing Fei syndrome (61 cases, 31.1%), Fei-Pi deficiency and Fei stagnation of phlegm syndrome (64 cases, 32.7%), Fei-Shen deficiency and yin deficiency induced inner heat syndrome (71 cases, 36.2%). There was statistical difference in the severity degree and the distribution of CD4 among the three syndrome types (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: AIDS patients with pulmonary infection involve Fei, Shen, and Pi. The pathogenic factors were related to "wind", "heat", "phlegm", and "xu". The Chinese medical syndrome distribution was closely correlated with patients' immunity.

[Rhodococcus equi pneumonia among patients with AIDS clinical features and treatment].

OBJECTIVE: To summarize the characteristics of clinical manifestation, chest radiology and microbiology of Rhodococcus equi pneumonia among patients with AIDS. METHODS: Total 1908 AIDS patients who have therapy in Longtan hospital of Guang Xi province since May 2007 to Nov 2009, 15 patients (0.79%) who were co-infected with Rhodococcus equi, and average age was 35 +/- 13 years, we retrospectively reviewed clinical manifestations, chest radiology and microbiology of nine HIV-infected patients complicated with Rhodococcus equi pneumonia. RESULTS: 14 patients presented with pneumonia or lung abscess, the clinical manifestations included fever (100%), cough and expectoration (93.3%), bellyache (26.7%), etc. And 5 patients Hb lower than 60 g/L, CD(4)(+)T cell count was between (1 - 51) x 10(6)/L, average was (20 +/- 16) x 10(6)/L, Patients presented with consolidation of lung. X-ray, or CT of lung showed large patchy consolidation image, inanition, atelectasis in the lung. Rhodococcus equi could be cultured from sputum, blood, tissue obtained through lung puncture, broncho-alveolar lavage fluid, etc. Though susceptible antibiotics were used, the focus in the lung was absorbed slowly, All of 15 patients begin with HAART, after 33 day to 2 years follow up 4 patients die and alive patients have perfect immune-rebuilt. CONCLUSIONS: Rhodococcus equi infection, an unusual disease, can be seen in AIDS patients and can be cured only with long-term effective antibiotic.

Diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis among asymptomatic HIV+ patients in Guangxi, China.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) among asymptomatic Chinese patients with HIV infection has not been investigated despite high tuberculosis burden in China. This study was aimed to evaluate the prevalence, risk factors and clinical outcomes of PTB among asymptomatic patients with HIV/AIDS in Guangxi to facilitate the development of diagnostic and treatment strategies. METHODS: All asymptomatic adult HIV-infected patients with CD4 < 350 cells/µl who attended four HIV clinics in Guangxi between August 2006 and March 2008 were evaluated for active PTB with physical examination, chest X-ray (CXR), sputum smear and/or sputum liquid culture. Data were described using median (interquartile range, IQR) and frequencies. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors associated with PTB. RESULTS: Among 340 asymptomatic subjects, 15 (4%) were diagnosed with PTB, with 4 (27%) sputum smear positive and 8 (53%) sputum culture positive. CXR has higher diagnostic sensitivity (87%) than sputum smear (25%) and sputum culture (67%), but lower specificity (56%) compared with sputum smear (99%) and culture (100%). In univariate analysis, injection drug user, body mass index (BMI) < 18 kg/m(2), CD4 < 50 cells/µl and presence of peripheral lymphadenopathy were associated with an increased risk of asymptomatic PTB, while in multivariate analysis only peripheral lymphadenopathy maintained statistical significance (OR = 7.6, 95%CI 1.4 - 40). Patients with negative smear and minor or no abnormalities on CXR had longer interval between screening and TB treatment. CONCLUSIONS: PTB was relatively common in this group of HIV(+) asymptomatic Chinese patients. Diagnosis is challenging especially where sputum culture is unavailable. These findings suggest that an enhanced evaluation for PTB needs to be integrated with HIV care in China and transmission prevention in China to control at both households and health care facilities, especially for patients with factors associated with a higher risk of PTB.